FPL GW34 Picks
Also check our Differential Picks for the week.
FPL GW34 Picks – BUY
Stuart Dallas (£5.3m / 27.0%)
Leeds’ harsh run of fixtures is now over and the outlook for the next four gameweeks is a lot kinder (bha, TOT, bur, sou). Of defenders, only Alexander-Arnold has scored more points than Dallas over the last four gameweeks. Dallas is also top for Shots (10) with four of them on target, more than any other defender.
Up next against Brighton, who have scored the fewest number of goals of any team (in the last four gameweeks), points for both a clean sheet and goal involvement could be headed his way.
Jarrod Bowen (£6.0m / 3.2%)
Bit of an unexpected pick this week but hear me out…
Bowen is at that rare crossroads of good form and good fixtures. West Ham have a really pleasant set of games coming up (bur, EVE, bha, wba) and Bowen is 6th amongst all players for Points (33) – in the last four gameweeks.
With Antonio out, Bowen has been playing as a forward and is currently on corners, meaning opportunities for goals and assists should be forthcoming. At £6.0m Bowen is a bargain; he is my differential pick this week.
FPL GW34 Picks – SELL
Ilkay Gundogan (£5.7m / 21.9%)
Gundogan has dropped right off the radar of late and I think there is a lot of merit in the theories that the presence of Kevin De Bruyne forces Gundogan into a deeper and less effective role for City.
Add to this the greater risk of rotation – the German international has only played 132 minutes of the last four game weeks – and all signs point to replacing him.
Mason Mount (£7.3m / 19.9%)
With an FA Cup final and a chain of nasty fixtures (FUL, mci, ARS, LEI) on the horizon, I think rotation could well be on the cards for key Chelsea players, especially for Mason Mount.
He has played 90 minutes in three consecutive games, for the first time since Tuchel took over the reins. This could be an indication that Tuchel now views him as a key part of his plans. However, I think him being benched is more likely.
Even if Mount doesn’t get rotated, his points returns and underlying stats have been mediocre, especially when other, similar priced midfielders are outperforming him (Pereira, Lingard, Greenwood) and with those fixtures coming up, I wouldn’t expect too much from him.
FPL GW34 Picks – KEEP
Bruno Fernandes (£11.5m / 55.6%)
If Jarrod Bowen is at the crossroads of good form and fixtures, then Bruno Fernandes is at the opposite end of that spectrum.
With difficult fixtures coming up (LIV, avl, LEI, FUL) and having returned just 12 points in his last four appearances (3 points per game) Bruno is struggling to justify his price tag. Usually when Bruno is not returning, his underlying stats suggest a touch of misfortune. But at the moment, even Bruno’s numbers are suggesting this drop in form is real.
That being said… shifting him out is always dangerous; we know what he is capable of (as was showed in his Europa League performance against Roma) and he is still on penalties. Crucially, there is a high probability that Manchester United double in GW35 which makes him a prime captaincy option for that week.
Jamie Vardy (£10.3m / 23.5%)
Many managers, myself included, took a punt (which subsequently backfired) on Jamie Vardy last week. A lot of us funded this move by sending Harry Kane the other way because Spurs blanked in GW33.
My initial plan was to leave enough money in the bank to bring Harry Kane back ahead of GW34, when Spurs play relegated Sheffield United. But now it comes to it, I am having second thoughts.
It’s not that I don’t think that Harry Kane is a great option (on the contrary, I will be hiding behind my couch for that game if I don’t bring him back) but the more I think of the idea of keeping Jamie Vardy, the more it makes sense:
• First, the next two fixtures (sou, NEW) look very nice although admittedly the two after than (mun, che) aren’t pleasant.
• Second, Leicester have plenty to play for in keeping their Top Four place. After what happened last year, they won’t want a repeat.
• Third, there is a high probability of a double for Leicester in GW35
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